主题：Effects of Cohort Size on College Premium: Evidence from China’s Higher Education Expansion
主讲人：胡晨旭博士
主持人：蔡冬青
时间：5月10日 13:30
地点：文科楼529（44118太阳成城集团会议室）
摘要：This paper documents the lesser-known heterogeneous trends of college earnings premium across age groups from 1995 to 2013 in China. Specifically, the college premium in 2013 for the younger group (age 25-34) was about 30 percentage points, similar to the level in 1995, while the college premium in 2013 for the older group (age 45-54) increased to 50 percentage points, nearly double that of 1995. These divergent trends of the college premium are found negatively driven by the changes in the relative size of college educated workers. Due to the distinctions of these trends in China, the identification is free of the overestimation issue that the existing studies suffer. This paper further reveals that the negative effect is much more substantial among the new labor market entrants (age 25-29) than experienced workers (age 30-54). This pattern demonstrates that the new entrants are more sensitive to their own cohort size and the confounding ability composition effect should not be a serious issue.
本次交流会由经统系承办。
